After a narrow win over Oklahoma on Saturday, the 20-4 #6 Kansas Jayhawks host the 12-12 Oklahoma State Cowboys tonight at 8:00 PM CST. WynnBET has the Jayhawks as 11-point favorites and -650 on the moneyline (bet $65 to profit $10) while the over/under is set at 143 in this Kansas vs Oklahoma State matchup.
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This is how we’re betting this game:
Kansas vs Oklahoma State Prediction
The Jayhawks narrowly avoided disaster against Oklahoma and now hope for a much more comfortable win tonight. They’re just 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last eight games and shot just 13/23 from the free throw line against the Sooners.
Kansas should be prepared for this one and did already beat the Cowboys in Oklahoma by 11 last month. The Cowboys are a good defensive team but turn the ball over on 21% of their possessions and have the 305th-ranked defensive rebounding rate, meaning Kansas should have plenty of fast-break opportunities and second-chance points to blow the game open.
While Kansas has struggled against the spread lately, Oklahoma State has been even worse. They’re just 5-13 ATS since the start of December and are just 2-6 ATS on the road this year. Allen Fieldhouse is not the place you want to travel to when you’re trying to snap out of a slump, and unless the Cowboys have an outlier performance from beyond the arc, I don’t see how they keep up with this Jayhawks team.
I’m taking Kansas -11 (-110) in this one but also like the over 143. Both teams play at a top-100 pace and the Jayhawks’ poor performance from the free throw line against Oklahoma is giving us some value with this number. The over is 7-4-1 in Kansas’ home games this year and has hit in three straight Oklahoma State road games as their defense has hit a lull. I see the Jayhawks winning this one somewhere in the neighborhood of 80-67 and breaking out of their cold streak.
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