Kansas vs Iowa State Prediction and Promo: Bet $10, Win $200 at WynnBET Sportsbook

Remy Martin and the Jayhawks' role players will need to step up against Iowa State tonight with Ochai Agbaji ruled out (Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images)
Remy Martin and the Jayhawks' role players will need to step up against Iowa State tonight with Ochai Agbaji ruled out (Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images) /

Coming off an embarrassing home loss to Kentucky, the 17-3 #10 Kansas Jayhawks take on the 16-5 #20 Iowa State Cyclones in a marquee Big 12 matchup tonight at 6:00 PM CST. WynnBET has the Jayhawks as 2.5-point favorites and -140 on the moneyline (bet $14 to win $10) while the over-under is 136.5.

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This is how we’re betting this game:

Kansas vs Iowa State Prediction

Note: Ochai Agbaji has been ruled out due to COVID protocols, causing the spread to fall from 4.5 to 2.5. I still like the Jayhawks in this spot and am betting the -2.5.

Bill Self doesn’t lose much at Allen Fieldhouse. Saturday was just his 15th loss ever at home with Kansas and he’s been the coach of the Jayhawks since George W. Bush’s first administration. Seriously, it’s insane.

But when he does lose, you can bet that Kansas comes out with a vengeance in their next game. At 4-0 against the spread (ATS) following a double-digit home loss, Bill Self is an excellent motivator and will have his guys ready. I expect intense defensive pressure as the Jayhawks look to push the ball in transition and rely on their star wings to bathe the stench of embarrassment off the team.

That’s bad news for an Iowa State team that struggles with turnovers. The Cyclones rank 275th nationally in offensive turnover rate and 314th in defensive free throw rate. They allow easy baskets by giving up transition looks and giving free points away at the charity stripe.

I believe this line is too short and an overreaction to Kansas’ loss to Kentucky and Iowa State’s dominant win over Missouri their last time out. When these teams played just three weeks ago, Kansas was favored by 13.5. The Jayhawks held on for a one-point victory, but shot just 6/20 from beyond the arc.

Some regression can be expected from a Kansas squad loaded with shooters and even without Agbaji, I don’t see anything to suggest the line should be a full 11 points lower than it was in the first matchup.

Give me the Jayhawks -2.5 (-110) as my best bet as we get a fired up Kansas team looking to punish someone.

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